Does Luck Exist? How Does It Work?

Does Luck Exist? How Does It Work?

Yes, Luck exists. If you describe a gambler as being lucky, it means that the winnings they are getting are not from their own doing.

However, if the player wins in every play, then you must dismiss luck. That takes exceptional skill.

Lottery winners are lucky because most of them have tried it time and again without winning.

For every winner, you have millions of losers who will never win even if they lived a billion years. So, that one lottery winner must be fortunate.

How Does Luck Work

It is difficult enough to describe luck, and it is far more challenging to say how it works (Not the answer most people want to hear).

Most of us want to listen to what the few snake oil salesmen want to sell to us.

We want these books or quick methods that are ”research-based” by ”renowned scientists or psychologists” to help you change your luck by ”channeling your inner strength”.

I believe that if we knew how luck works, then luck won’t be luck anymore. Luck is random.

You can expect good or bad moments in your life, but you won’t predict when it will strike.

How Do I Know It’s God’s Blessing and Not Luck?

In my opinion, the randomness of luck cannot be equal to ‘God’s blessings.’

Various religions and cultures believe some supernatural control drives luck.

My pastor on the other end advises that you should always learn how to pray the right way to have what you want.

That’s the reason most people pray, fast, or sacrifice to get the wheels of Fortuna rolling their way. And as always, the answers to your prayers will be ‘yes,’ ‘wait’ or ‘no.’

There is no scientific way to measure the pattern of God’s blessings. Most of these claims are based on anecdotal evidence, which is unfalsifiable (they can’t be reproduced and tested scientifically).

It means there is no way to verify or refute that you prayed for a job and got ‘blessed’ with it ten years later.

Mathematicians and scientists, on the other hand, have tried to create simulations to determine and predict randomness. 

Monte Carlo techniques, for example, help in the prediction of such uncertainties in the world of finance.

Do You Believe in Luck and Why?

Everybody has had both pleasant and unpleasant moments that they never expected.

I believe that I am lucky to be born at this time in history. So far, this is relatively the most peaceful time era in human history.

If I had been born sometime in the past millennia, I would be in the dark ages.

Several things would have killed me before attaining maturity (diseases, war, slavery, accusations of being a witch, etc.).

A little further into the future, the tech becomes better but the earth may become too populated.

Who knows what will happen if Elon Musk et al don’t find a way to take people to Mars?

Also, the unorthodox person that I am, I have a friend with whom I can share my worries, fears, beliefs, and ambitions without fear or shame. Now, that’s luck.

Where Does Good Luck

Generally, no source is dishing out good luck. Being lucky is a matter of randomness, and so is being unlucky.

But everybody has their belief system about luck. Maybe something awesome happens to you and your friends every time one of you walks out of the room.

Perhaps good fortune comes your way anytime you talk to your parents.

Or good luck comes whenever you sacrifice an unblemished white chicken. 

Some experts believe that the ‘right attitude’ and ‘believing in yourself’ brings luck.

But there is a difference between luck and success (material or otherwise). Great attitude and confidence may bring you success since it will show in your talk, behavior, and gait.

Add some rare skills to this newfound confidence, and the salary increment, promotion, respect, or successful spouse you are looking for comes naturally.

However, Research has it that having negative energies around you can also bring you bad luck.

How to Make Good Luck Come Your Way

Most people equate good luck to material wealth. A promise of good fortune and luck feels good, and that’s what most people need.

But there is no proven way to make Fortuna smile at you, at least not with our given definition of luck.

No tarot card reading, change of personality, ‘gambling analyses’ by ‘experts,’ ‘stock market predictions,’ etc. will make the improbable probable.

Also, people view luck differently. One person may see Frane Selak lucky, but another may see it as bad luck. 

What about a woman who has been yearning for a child for years and eventually gets a disabled child? She may deem herself lucky while another will say she is unlucky.

According to J.E Littlewood, a mathematician, a one-in-a-million event happens to us every month. They are not just very significant to you.

For example, what are the chances you get to see Halley’s Comet twice? You may not feel fortunate to see this if you are not an astronomy buff, but it is a rare outcome, nonetheless.

It is also a fact that you may also want to try and learn how to detect and cleanse negative energies around you so that your aura does not attract negative energy that will come with any bad luck to you.

Can Unlucky People Change Their Bad Luck?

Luck, no. But how your life turns out, maybe. I will go back to my earlier argument.

There are millions of books out there: millionaire’s secret, the art of being lucky (or winning this or that), it is all in your head (or hands or other body parts), among other catchy titles.

These books won’t make you lucky. But some may genuinely change your life’s outlook and subsequently your success.

Maybe someone just lacks the necessary skills to make it in their chosen field, or your talents/interests may lie somewhere else. While luck has some impact on your life, several other factors play some role.

Financial and social support, skills, exposure, confidence, saturation in the chosen industry are some of the factors that propel people to success (or failure).

Nobody puts it better than Nicholas Taleb in his book: Fooled by Randomness.

A bored billionaire may decide to find participants for a game of Russian Roulette and give $1 billion to the winner.

You may get lucky once, but what are the chances of reaching 50 years if you play the game every year from your 25th birthday?

How many people will ‘be lucky’ if 10,000 people were to participate every year? 

The point is for every lucky ‘winner’, there are millions of losers (dead ones in the case of Russian Roulette).

Unfortunately, the media, bloggers, podcasts, etc. never give you that perspective, and you end up feeling like a loser.

Trying to change your bad luck (real or imagined) may be fatal—for instance, someone who sinks into further debt in the hope of winning big in gambling.

Why Do Some People Always Have Bad Luck?

Unluckiness may have nothing to do with the gods being against you or that time you drank milk from that neighbor who looks at you ‘with bad eyes.’

Your bad luck may just be unsystematic. You may never win that jackpot or get out of your relative poverty (or you may). 

As mentioned earlier, there are always things that happen in your life that are miraculous (not in the biblical sense).

You may be focusing too much on achieving something you may never have, or that won’t make you happy afterward.

The truth is millionaires only account for less than 1% of the worldwide population (that is if good luck means material wealth). Of course, being lucky may mean something else to you.

Also, you may not have the mitigating factors another person has. Your icon may have had enough capital to support multiple risky ventures, supportive parents or spouse, better skills, suave, likeability, etc.

Closing Remarks

Bertrand Russell once said, “no satisfaction based upon self-deception is solid, and, however unpleasant the truth may be, it is better to face it once for all, to get used to it, and proceed to build your life in accordance with it”

In short, you can’t make it by lying to yourself, complaining about how unlucky you are or by waiting for lady luck without doing anything worthwhile.

Are You Lucky Enough?

Peggy Dodson, the Lancaster County two-time lottery winner, was the darling of the media about a year ago. In 24 months, she won $1 million, followed by $100,000.

To top this off, she had bought both lottery tickets from the same store. So, how lucky can one guy be? And how do we define luck?

People think of luck when their success or failure comes from chance as opposed to one’s plans or actions.

Most mathematicians and scientists agree that when you consider the probability theory, you become lucky or unlucky if the situation was improbable.

Think of it this way. If a prolific scorer in football, say, Aguero, is left with a wide-open goal and hits the post, commentators will say he is unlucky. But he won’t be lucky if he scores.

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